Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.037527 0.040780 0.044048 0.047571 0.051256 0.054991 0.059056
2025-12-07 0.032691 0.037551 0.042586 0.048168 0.054163 0.060386 0.067314
2025-12-14 0.028654 0.034644 0.041025 0.048276 0.056236 0.064662 0.074211
2025-12-21 0.026134 0.033065 0.040630 0.049404 0.059214 0.069760 0.081878
2025-12-28 0.022878 0.030353 0.038718 0.048622 0.059889 0.072183 0.086491
2026-01-04 0.020717 0.028698 0.037829 0.048833 0.061539 0.075575 0.092081
2026-01-11 0.019137 0.027584 0.037443 0.049513 0.063630 0.079386 0.098080
2026-01-18 0.017727 0.026556 0.037061 0.050113 0.065557 0.082958 0.103764
2026-01-25 0.015336 0.024140 0.034874 0.048451 0.064747 0.083312 0.105715
2026-02-01 0.013759 0.022646 0.033716 0.047939 0.065216 0.085081 0.109233
2026-02-08 0.012488 0.021462 0.032872 0.047744 0.066008 0.087183 0.113101
2026-02-15 0.012005 0.021299 0.033293 0.049088 0.068633 0.091426 0.119451
2026-02-22 0.011398 0.020951 0.033479 0.050161 0.070972 0.095389 0.125556
2026-03-01 0.010667 0.020380 0.033345 0.050811 0.072786 0.098730 0.130943
2026-03-08 0.009797 0.019550 0.032825 0.050937 0.073932 0.101261 0.135370
2026-03-15 0.009376 0.019351 0.033130 0.052109 0.076367 0.105338 0.141631
2026-03-22 0.008308 0.018101 0.031949 0.051304 0.076298 0.106368 0.144252
2026-03-29 0.007666 0.017458 0.031570 0.051524 0.077495 0.108918 0.148674
2026-04-05 0.007224 0.017103 0.031570 0.052227 0.079291 0.112187 0.153955
2026-04-12 0.006790 0.016726 0.031519 0.052846 0.080969 0.115308 0.159057
2026-04-19 0.005736 0.015223 0.029779 0.051131 0.079610 0.114661 0.159580
2026-04-26 0.005090 0.014363 0.028936 0.050603 0.079756 0.115850 0.162312
2026-05-03 0.004579 0.013696 0.028349 0.050401 0.080307 0.117529 0.165632